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ϳԹ GOP should broaden its base, says political science professor

FILE: ϳԹ State Senator Ryan Fazio addresses a crowd of supporters at the Greenwich Republican watch party on election night 2024. Republican Sen. Ryan Fazio beat Democrat Nick Simmons for 36th District.
Tyler Russell
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FILE: ϳԹ State Senator Ryan Fazio addresses a crowd of supporters at the Greenwich Republican watch party on election night 2024. Republican Sen. Ryan Fazio beat Democrat Nick Simmons for the 36th District.

On Election Night 2024, ϳԹ voters reaffirmed their for Democratic leadership, strengthening the party’s so-called of holding control of the governor’s mansion, the state House of Representatives and the state Senate.

At the same time, Republican Donald Trump’s presidential re-election bid gained traction statewide. While Democratic presidential candidate and Vice President Kamala Harris still won ϳԹ on election night, improved in nearly every city and town in the state, compared to 2020.

Sacred Heart University political science professor a noted expert on the ϳԹ GOP, sees this as a sign of opportunity for Republicans in the state — if they focus on the right issues.

“We had a presidential candidate in Donald Trump articulating very real concerns about having an economy that works for them and that brings down the cost of living as well,” Rose said. “And then, of course, the immigration issue too.”

A rightward shift — or not

Despite Trump’s gains, Rose cautioned against interpreting these numbers as evidence of a larger ideological shift.

“More voters were voting Republican [for president] than normal, but it was largely because of those issues that I think they feel are affecting their lives directly in ϳԹ,” he explained. “I would not describe that as a clear movement to the right.”

A precarious position

The state GOP’s fortunes are worse now following Election 2024, Rose said, because they lost seats . And, in one respect, Democratic Gov. Ned Lamont’s fortunes are slightly worse too.

With 25 senate seats and at least 102 house seats, that can override any of Lamont’s vetoes.

State Republicans are now in less control of the state’s legislative agenda than they’ve been in

How much to embrace Trump?

“[CT GOP’s] main objective in the days ahead is to present an agenda that allows them to expand their base to voting groups that I think do have the potential for voting Republican,” Rose said. “The issues that Donald Trump was articulating — the economy and immigration — could, in fact, be part of that agenda.”

As for the groups Rose was referring to, Rose said he sees significant opportunities for Republicans to attract nonwhite voters, particularly Hispanic voters, Black men, and Asian American voters. He argued that these groups could become key allies if Republicans address their concerns effectively.

However, Rose warned that an effective strategy for ϳԹ Republicans would not mean adopting Trump’s full political persona. “They have to move towards Trump on bread-and-butter issues,” Rose said. “They do not want to get into the social and moral issues because those issues are simply unelectable in the state of ϳԹ.”

A more urban approach

For decades, the ϳԹ Republican Party has relied on its strongholds in smaller, rural towns. Rose believes this approach is unsustainable.

“They can't just depend on a lot of these small rural towns,” he said. “I think you're going to see a more urbanized type of approach within the Republican Party in the days ahead.”

A call for open primaries

One of Rose’s more striking recommendations was a push for open primaries in ϳԹ.

“We have 41% of the electorate here in ϳԹ that's unaffiliated. They can't vote in primaries,” he noted. “If they could open their primaries, I'm sure they could draw a lot more moderate and enthusiastic voters to the party, and that would help them in a tremendous way in the general election.”

The road ahead

Whether the party can pivot effectively remains to be seen, but as Rose concluded, “The ϳԹ Republican Party has the potential to reinvent itself. Whether it chooses to do so will determine its future.”

John Henry Smith is ϳԹ’s host of All Things Considered, its flagship afternoon news program. He's proud to be a part of the team that won a regional Emmy Award for The Vote: A ϳԹ Conversation. In his 21st year as a professional broadcaster, he’s covered both news and sports.

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SOMOS CONNECTICUT is an initiative from ϳԹ, the state’s local NPR and PBS station, to elevate Latino stories and expand programming that uplifts and informs our Latino communities. Visit CTPublic.org/latino for more stories and resources. For updates, sign up for the SOMOS CONNECTICUT newsletter at ctpublic.org/newsletters.

SOMOS CONNECTICUT es una iniciativa de ϳԹ, la emisora local de NPR y PBS del estado, que busca elevar nuestras historias latinas y expandir programación que alza y informa nuestras comunidades latinas locales. Visita CTPublic.org/latino para más reportajes y recursos. Para noticias, suscríbase a nuestro boletín informativo en ctpublic.org/newsletters.

The independent journalism and non-commercial programming you rely on every day is in danger.

If you’re reading this, you believe in trusted journalism and in learning without paywalls. You value access to educational content kids love and enriching cultural programming.

Now all of that is at risk.

Federal funding for public media is under threat and if it goes, the impact to our communities will be devastating.

Together, we can defend it. It’s time to protect what matters.

Your voice has protected public media before. Now, it’s needed again. Learn how you can protect the news and programming you depend on.

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ϳԹ’s journalism is made possible, in part by funding from Jeffrey Hoffman and Robert Jaeger.